Future Business Tech2021.9.14---2030 年人工智能的10 大未來趨勢

0:00 by 2030 artificial intelligence is going 0:02 to have a more significant impact on our 0:04 everyday lives and it could contribute 0:06 up to 15.7 trillion dollars to the 0:09 global economy by that time there are 10 0:11 major ai trends that will likely exist 0:13 in 2030. number one ai will reach human 0:16 level intelligence according to 0:18 technologists and futurists ray kurzweil 0:21 artificial intelligence will reach human 0:22 level performance by the year 2030. this 0:25 will be determined when ai is able to 0:28 successfully pass a valid turing test 0:31 however a private corporation would 0:32 probably own the algorithm behind this 0:34 ai and this algorithm wouldn't be shared 0:37 with the public for quite a while number 0:39 two jarvis-like ai assistance will 0:41 become commonplace most people in 0:44 developed countries could have ai 0:46 assistance to improve the quality of 0:48 their lives according to peter diamandis 0:51 founder of singular university and other 0:53 companies services like alexa google 0:55 home and apple homepod will expand in 0:58 functionality they will eventually 1:00 travel beyond the home and become a 1:01 cognitive prosthetic 24 7. depending on 1:05 what permissions you grant to it a 1:06 secure jarvis-like software could listen 1:09 to all of your conversations read your 1:10 emails monitor your blood chemistry and 1:13 so forth with access to all this data 1:16 this ai enabled software will learn your 1:18 preferences anticipate your needs and 1:20 behaviors shop for you monitor your 1:23 health and help you problem solve in 1:24 support of your mid and long term goals 1:27 they may also exist in the form of 1:29 operating systems that can connect with 1:31 multiple devices similar to what is 1:33 portrayed in the movie her by the 1:35 mid-2030s some early adopters might even 1:38 begin using brain computer interfaces to 1:41 connect to the neocortexes according to 1:43 ray kurzweil this will enable us to 1:46 interact with ai assistants with our 1:48 brand activity and bring this concept to 1:50 an entirely new level number three ai 1:53 human collaboration with skyrocket 1:55 across all professions by 2030 ai will 1:59 become a critical part of our day-to-day 2:01 operations supporting employees creative 2:04 activities generating new ideas and 2:06 tackling previously unattainable 2:08 innovations in some places partnering 2:11 with ai will even become required for 2:13 example they're already excellent ai 2:15 tools used for creative professions 2:18 viscom creates rendered versions of 2:19 sketches you provide to it art breeder 2:22 creates ai generated images that are 2:24 children of the images you provide to it 2:27 word tune rearranges and optimizes 2:29 sentences that you provide to it and the 2:31 script is able to mimic your voice using 2:33 text you provide to it after you feed it 2:35 and the voice data number four most 2:38 devices will be embedded with 2:39 intelligence according to peter 2:41 diamandis the price of specialized 2:44 machine learning chips is dropping 2:46 rapidly with the rise in global demand 2:48 specialized ai chips could reach as low 2:50 as five dollars which will enable 2:52 affordable ai for toys appliances drones 2:55 video game controllers and more this 2:58 will be further made possible with the 2:59 explosion of low-cost microscopic 3:01 sensors and the deployment of high 3:03 bandwidth networks 3:05 also garner projects that specialized 3:07 ship sales for ai will grow from 8 3:09 billion in 2019 to 34 billion by 2023 by 3:14 2030 children's toys could remember 3:17 faces and names using facial and speech 3:19 recognition and appliances could respond 3:21 to voice commands using voice 3:23 recognition and anticipate your needs 3:25 using predictive algorithms number five 3:28 autonomous automobiles might drive 3:30 better than humans because of advances 3:33 in ai including tesla's newly introduced 3:36 dojo supercomputer fully autonomous 3:38 vehicles could be fully operational in 3:40 at least some geographic areas in the 3:42 next decade although some experts 3:45 believe that could take decades either 3:47 way they could lead to a gradual 3:48 decrease in overall transportation costs 3:51 in affected geographic areas and the 3:53 grassroots disruption of industries such 3:55 as urban planning delivery services 3:58 trucking and more number six deep fakes 4:01 could become problematic in society 4:04 microsoft and facebook have already 4:05 developed tools to detect deep fakes and 4:08 their origins but the damage they could 4:10 still cause should probably be taken 4:12 seriously fake video and other clips 4:14 could be published with the sole 4:15 intention of exploiting people's biases 4:18 fears and suspicions and convincing some 4:20 people that a video or audio clip is 4:23 actually fake could prove much tougher 4:25 than many people currently expect number 4:28 seven ai will improve the quality of 4:30 medical treatments ai is currently used 4:33 to understand how a person's genetics 4:35 environment and lifestyle can help 4:37 determine the best approach to prevent 4:39 or treat certain diseases digital 4:41 therapeutics custom-designed drugs and 4:44 improved diagnosis are already making 4:46 treatments more accurate affordable and 4:48 accessible artificial intelligence is 4:51 likely to be adopted as an aid rather 4:53 than a replacement for human physicians 4:55 in addition to enhancing physicians 4:57 diagnosis it will also continuously 4:59 learn and improve as is used in a 5:01 variety of medical situations the 5:03 continuous interaction between human 5:05 physicians and ai power diagnostics will 5:07 help enhance the accuracy of their 5:09 systems and over time we give humans 5:11 enough confidence to let the ai systems 5:14 operate autonomously all of this will 5:16 help humans live longer and healthier 5:18 lives number eight household robots 5:20 could begin to be adopted on a limited 5:22 basis according to report by stanford 5:25 domestic robots could hit the market by 5:27 2030. probably that price is so high 5:30 that only the most wealthy could 5:31 purchase them companies like samsung and 5:33 toyota resource institute have already 5:35 built prototypes that can perform a 5:37 variety of activities like folding 5:39 laundry cleaning dishes and setting up 5:41 dinner tables and tesla is set to 5:44 release their own prototype early this 5:45 decade much like tesla cars the ai for a 5:49 household robot could be continually 5:51 updated from the cloud as the ai in each 5:54 robot manufacturer's data center is 5:56 exposed to bigger and more diverse data 5:58 sets number nine ai could cause massive 6:01 job losses udacity ceo gabe del porto 6:05 told time that one billion people would 6:06 lose their jobs as a result of ai by 6:09 2030 and that lockdowns in 2019 only 6:12 accelerated this trend these widespread 6:14 job losses could even overshadow the 6:17 transition from agricultural labor 6:19 during the 1900s in the united states 6:21 and europe job functions such as 6:23 automobile or truck driving equipment 6:25 operation and law will become 6:27 increasingly automated therefore many of 6:29 these jobs will be rendered obsolete 6:32 these workers will need to be trained 6:34 for new careers in order to survive 6:36 governments will have to proactively 6:38 create new laws and programs to protect 6:41 and re-educate this displaced workforce 6:44 to make things even worse this trend can 6:46 increase inequality in societies and 6:48 place more power in the hands of a few 6:51 you could see a devastating divide 6:53 between the people who work for 6:54 algorithms and the people who design and 6:56 own the algorithms however one bright 6:59 side is the jobs that rely on emotional 7:01 intelligence like sales leadership and 7:04 management are likely safe in the next 7:06 decade number 10 china may benefit the 7:09 most from artificial intelligence china 7:11 may already be spending more on r d than 7:14 the united states when it comes to 7:15 artificial intelligence according to pwc 7:18 the greatest economic gains from ai will 7:21 be in china and north america the 7:23 economic gains from these two countries 7:25 would be equivalent to a total of 10.7 7:27 trillion and would account for almost 70 7:30 percent of the global economic impact 7:32 additionally china's huge population is 7:35 helping the nation make great strides in 7:37 facial recognition technology although 7:39 many people have concerns with 7:41 intrusions and privacy 7:42 thanks for watching to learn more about 7:44 artificial intelligence make sure to 7:46 watch the video to the right